玖天娛樂城現金網優惠狂歡，香港賭場愛好者不能錯過的機會！【運彩怎麼買才會賺？穩定獲利的「資金管理方法」】

B、資金管理方法

資金管理方法就是每一次的下注，應該投注多少錢？
以下整理幾種常見的策略
並於文末模擬哪一種最適合你

1、均注法

每次下注都是固定金額
如每月限額3000元，無論賠率多少、串關與否
平均每天就是只能投100元的單
如下表：

贏可拿 = 投注金額*賠率

獲利 = 投注金額*(賠率-1)

2、適應式均注法（均利法）

根據賠率固定投注金額，為了讓獲利維持相同
適應不同種賠率值
如下表：


因為在不同賠率的場次下，你的期望勝率也會不同
理論上賠率越低，勝率越高
所以越可以多下一點

投注金額 = 期望獲利/(賠率-1)

3、累進式均注法

一樣是使用均注法，每次都固定金額
但如果贏了，就把獲利的一半加進去固定金額

獲利的一半 = 投注金額*(賠率-1)/2

4、倍壓法

先設定第一次買的金額基準，如100元
若贏了，繼續買基準金額
若輸了，則加倍下注，目的是把前一次的成本贏回來
以單場賠率1.75舉例：

第一次場投100元，輸了
第二場就加倍，下200元

5、循環倍壓法

倍壓法的優點是可以贏一次就把前面輸的贏回來
缺點是加倍太多次，本金會消耗過快
因此，有種改良方法是

最多加倍三次，當作一個循環
如果還是輸，就回到第一次的基準金額
重新慢慢玩

6、Kelly凱利法（本金比例）

這是博弈領域，很有名的本金管理方法
公式如下

C、模擬結果

預設的條件：

模擬1：不管賠率為何，長期有62%勝率

因本人MLB四百多注的記錄中，長期下擁有62%勝率
故以此數據進行模擬，結果如下：



只要有連續輸的情況，倍壓法馬上就會破產
整體結果：Kelly法 >> 適應式均注法 > 均注法 = 循環倍壓法 > 累進式均注法

因為模擬中的Kelly法可以有理想的真實勝率值
但實際上卻很難估算，通常會下Kelly建議比例的1/2~1/3

模擬2：不同賠率值，有不同的勝率

以我自己的投注記錄，不同賠率值所對應的勝率

D、結論

這些模擬基本上還是偏向理想
不過投注金額的策略還是有參考價值
如絕對不要嘗試倍壓法！！！
另外可以簡單分成兩種模式：

激進派 → Kelly法

保守派 → 適應式均注法

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Introduction

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Step 8: Stay Informed

Stay up to date with the latest trends and developments in the world of blackjack. Read books, follow expert players, and join online forums to expand your knowledge and learn from others.

Step 9: Play Responsibly

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By following these steps and putting in the necessary effort and dedication, you can transform yourself from a blackjack novice to a blackjack champion. Good luck!